High Tide

I was walking past the iconic Asiatic Library near the Horniman Circle. It was another bright sunny day. Dozens of people were hanging out on the stairs of the Library; some of them posing and clicking pictures. However, the hustle and bustle on the pavement was missing as it was a holiday.

My smart phone faithfully kept displaying two unsolicited pieces of information – the temperature was 38 degrees Celsius and that it felt like forty two. Indeed the heat was higher than usual in South Mumbai even for a hot summer.

Just then I saw something curious on the other side of the road along the garden. An old man was sitting there leaning against a tree. His legs stretched out and hands lay lifeless alongside. His head drooped to the front.

I crossed the road intuitively to go near him. Perhaps the old man needed some help.

As I drew closer, I saw him as a frail old man almost lifeless. Neatly clothed in trousers and a full-sleeve shirt, as if for a formal occasion, how could he sit there on the dusty roadside? The wrinkles on the face could not hide his sophisticated looks. He seemed to be a rich person. He must have been a handsome well-built man in his youth.

I tried making some noise to wake him up. He sat lifeless making me fear that he was dead! I did not want to get into complications with the police if the old man was dead already and I was found near him as a stranger taking avoidable interest in his body. A rich man’s death on the roadside is not the same as that of the poor – one would raise suspicion of crime while the other, emotions against hunger and apathy.

But suddenly he opened his eyes and looked at me. He murmured something, loud enough for me to take notice. He was perhaps asking me to help him stand up.

I rushed closer to him and enquired whether he was fine. The old man ignored my anxiety and asked if there was high tide in the sea. I could not exactly follow what he was saying. I told him, the Marine Drive was few kilometres away if he wanted to go closer to the ocean front. He appeared incoherent in his words but was definitely not going to die at that moment. I had a sense of relief.

I genuinely wanted to help and not abandon him high and dry. I was trying to enquire whether he wanted help to go home, but the old man was not responding.

Suddenly he was trying to raise his hands perhaps seeking assistance. I was preparing to lean and lift his hands when a car stopped by and the chauffer came rushing. He rudely pushed me aside and effortlessly gathered the old man in his able arms and made him stand on his feet. The old man started walking at a slow pace towards the car with his right hand on the chauffer’s shoulders.

He still looked at me trying to say something. I went closer. He thanked me for being nice.

The chauffer helped him sit in the car. Before getting into the car himself, the chauffer looked at me and said – mind your own business.

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ରହ ରହ କ୍ଷଣେ

ରହ ରହ କ୍ଷଣେ ଆକାଶ-ଶକଟ
ଦେଖିବି ଉପରୁ କେଉଁଠି କଟକ ।।

ଉପରୁ ଉପର ଯାଏ ଯେତେ ଦୂର
ଭସା ବାଦଲର ଅପରୂପ ପୁର
ଅପସରି ଯାଏ ତଳେ ଘର ଦ୍ୱାର,
ବାଟ ଘାଟ ନଈ ଦୋକାନ ବଜାର ।।

ଦେଖିବି ନିରେଖି ଦୂର୍ଗ ବାରବାଟି
କାଠଯୋଡ଼ି ପୋଲ, ସାହି ପରିପାଟି
ଉପରୁ ଦିଶିବ ଯୋବ୍ରା ଆନିକଟ
ହାଇକୋଟ ପୁଣି ନଦୀ ଦୁଇ ତଟ ।।

ଦିଶିବକି ସତେ ସାହି ଦେବୀଘର
ମନ୍ଦିର ମଥାନ, ଆମ ଛାତପର
ଏକାବେଳେ ମୋର ପଡିବ ନଜର
ସବୁ ଗଳିକନ୍ଦି ସାରା କଟକର ।।

ରହିଯାଆ କ୍ଷଣେ ଆକଶ ପଥରେ
ଦେଖିବି ସହର ବିହଙ୍ଗ ଆଖିରେ
ଉପରୁ ଦିଶଇ ସବୁ ସମତୁଲ
ବଡ ମନୋରମ ଡ଼ଉଲ ଡାଉଲ

ପାଖେଥିଲେ ସିନା ଦିଶେ ନରଦମା
ସାଇ ପଡିଶାର ମିଛ ପରିସୀମା
ଭୋକ, ଅନାଟନ ଭଙ୍ଗାରୁଜା ଘର
ବିଭବ, ଅଭାବ ବିରୋଧର ସ୍ୱର ।।

ରହ ରହ କ୍ଷଣେ ଆକାଶ-ଶକଟ
ଦେଖିବି ଉପରୁ କେଉଁଠି କଟକ ।।

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Obsolescence

Obsolescence is an unavoidable truth. It is best reflected in generation gap, where our behaviour and choices fail to match the changing times. There is nothing new in this phenomenon. Our grand parents must have felt the pinch of generation gap in the same way as our parents did. Yet this time it is different!! No generation prior to ours may have seen such profound obsolescence of iconic products and services that once dominated daily lives.

One thing that comes to mind is the telegram service, which used to be the fastest way to communicate in earlier times. Introduced to the public in the year 1954 in India, telegram had become a ubiquitous mode for important communications. When one travelled long distances, one would send a telegram to confirm safe arrival to his near and dear ones. Messages of death and ill health usually travelled through telegrams giving the service a sense of notoriety in the Bollywood.  Telegram was professed as a scientific wonder, which contributed greatly to human welfare. Contrast this with the communication technology available today.

‘At its peak in the mid-1980s, more than 45,000 telegraph offices dotted the country, with tens of thousands of telegraph workers and delivery men dispatching more than 600,000 telegrams a day’ (The Telegraph, UK – 15 July 2013). However, with the advent of alternative communication methods, telegram services looked archaic. By the year 2013, the service was withdrawn as unviable and unnecessary. Thousands were seen queuing up in front of the Central Telegraph Office in Mumbai on the last day of the telegram service in 2013 only to experience sending the last telegram of their lives. It was an emotional moment bidding goodbye to the telegram service as it transited to the pages of history.

The other thing that has practically vanished from sight is the humble typewriter. We could never imagine an office without the click-clack of the typewriter. It looks incredible today that hundreds of ordinary people possessed the ability to type out neat pages without having to use a ‘delete’, ‘back-space’ or ‘copy-paste’ button. The carbon paper was the inseparable companion of the typewriter helping it to create multiple copies, as the typewriter had had no memory. Further, every street corner boasted of a training school teaching the art of typing – it definitely served as a source of ample employment! The advent of computers pushed the typewriter out of its useful life first in the West and thereafter in India. Godrej & Boyce in India produced the last batch of typewriters in 2011. The extinct species of typewriter can still be found quite inexplicably inside the court premises producing affidavits, lease deeds and other documents related to the judiciary. This is perhaps the last phase after which the typewriter will pass completely into oblivion.

There are many more things that have come and gone in our lifetime: the music cassettes and the cassette player, VCR – the owners’ pride of yesteryears, and pager that lived a short life in the world of telecommunications; to recount a few. Smartphones and Internet have changed our lives for good. When we look back about two decades ago, our own ways of doing things at that time look archaic to us, not just to the generation younger than us. This type of obsolescence is really amazing.

As overwhelming changes on account of Internet and smartphones took over an existing generation of people, they had to upgrade their skills and adapt fast – even by unlearning a thing or two of the age-old habits. Interaction with a touch screen comes naturally to a teen-ager today because he has seen no other, but it has taken a process of adjustment for a generation to get a hang of it.

Obsolescence is perhaps setting in quicker than ever before. Rapid change in technology is bringing in frequent twists and turns in the way we interact with others including with the inanimate objects.

Imagine, a person who was once sending telegrams as the fasted means of communication, is now using on-line video chats. Gone are the days when he tried his best to minimise the number words he would write in a telegram message, as every additional word beyond the first few would be very expensive. His office is no more dotted with busy typewriters, as e-mails and other applications are seamlessly doing things with greater efficiency. The changes around such a person are absolutely transforming.

This generation is indeed lucky to experience obsolescence of unthinkable magnitude.

 

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ବିଜୟ ରଥ

ଦୁର୍ଗମ ଆଉ ଦୀର୍ଘ ପଥର 
            ପଥିକ ଆମେରେ ପଥିକ ଆଜି
ସମ୍ବଳ ଆମ ସମ୍ଭାବନାର
            ଅଥଳ ଅଶେଷ ସପନ ରାଜି ।

ଆଗ୍ନେୟ ସମ ବହ୍ନି ପ୍ରଖର
            ହୃଦୟେ ନିରତ ଝରୁଛି ଲାଭା
ଉନ୍ମାଦନାର ଉତ୍ତାଳ ଢେଉ
            ପରାଣେ ଖେଳାଏ ଆଶାର ଆଭା।

ଯତ୍ନରେ ଗଢ଼ା ରତ୍ନ ସମାନ
            ସ୍ବପ୍ନ ସକଳ ମନରେ ଭରା
ବିଶ୍ୱାସ ଆଉ ଆତ୍ମ ପରଖ
            ଆମ ଯାତ୍ରାର ପାଥେୟ ପରା ।

ଲଂଗର ତୋଳି ମଙ୍ଗ ଧରିବା
            ବାହିବା ନିଜର ବୋଇତ ନିଜେ
ଭବ୍ୟ ପଥର ଉଦ୍ଭବ ହେବ
            ସନ୍ଧାନୀ ଯେଣୁ ଉପାୟ ଖୋଜେ ।

ବନ୍ଦର ଦୂର ଅନ୍ଧାର ଘୋର
            ବତୀଘର ନାହିଁ ପାଖରେ କାହିଁ
ଭ୍ରଷ୍ଟ ନହେଉ ଦୃଷ୍ଟି ତଥାପି 
            ଲହଡି, ବତାସ, ହତାଶା ପାଇଁ ।

ରୁନ୍ଧି ନହେବା ବନ୍ଦ କୋଠିରେ
            ବାତାୟନ ଥାଉ ସକଳ ଦିଗେ
ତୁଙ୍ଗ ପାହାଡ ଲଙ୍ଘିବା ବଳେ
            ନୋଇବାନି ମଥା ଆପଦ ଆଗେ ।

ଦକ୍ଷ ମଣିଷ ଲକ୍ଷ୍ୟ ହାରେନା
            ବିଘ୍ନ ବିପଦ ଆସିଲେ ପଥେ
ଶଙ୍କା କାତର ଉତ୍ସାହ ଯାର,
            କେବେ ସେ ବସିନି ବିଜୟ ରଥେ ।

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Global Ranking

Every country has a brand image – a perception about the country associated with its name. If we think of Syria or Yemen, we have an outsider’s general impression of war, miseries and destruction while the perception about Singapore or Australia is drastically different. Is there a way to formally analyze nations’ respective brands and even order them from best to worse?

There are several agencies, which come out with periodic reports on nations’ brands. These agencies reckon perceptions about a country in terms of its culture, heritage, present-day infrastructure, governance, tourism, investments, etc. to estimate its brand value. India’s ranking in the list of nation-brands published by some reputed agencies is as follows:

  • Brand Finance, a London based agency measures and contrasts the brand image of leading 100 countries and comes out with an annual report. The last available report (2016) places India at the 7th position – US, China, Germany, Japan and UK are the first five countries in that order.
  • In terms of the Anholt-GfK Nation Brands Index of 2016, USA, Germany, UK, Canada and France adorn the top five ranks in that order. India’s ranking under this index is available in the public domain for 2014, when it stood 31st among 50 countries.
  • Country Brand Index published by FutureBrand places India among the bottom 10% of the 118 countries it covered in its 2014-15 report.

The brand position of India as a nation varies widely depending on the underlying factors considered by the concerned agencies. Whatever be the brand ranking, it is true that India is one of the top destinations for Foreign Direct Investments (FDI). Just as customers would flock to buy products belonging to the most valued brand, investors would gravitate towards the country that promises long-term value for their money. In that sense, India seems to have scored over many other countries by being an attractive FDI destination.

Let’s look at two reports on FDI flows – one published by UNCTAD in its World Investment Report 2017 and the other, FDI Confidence Index 2017 presented by A.T. Kearney, a global consulting firm.

  • FDI flows to developing Asia decreased by 15% in 2016 compared to the previous year. Yet FDI flow to India stayed largely flat; rather it was up by 1% from the previous year. The year 2017 is expected to be far better with FDI flows to developing Asia poised to rise by 15%. The most favourite FDI destinations in the world for 2017 are expected to be US, China and India. (UNCTAD)
  • A.T. Kearney FDI Confidence Index captures investment intentions and thereby provides a forward-looking stance. The latest Index places India at the 8th position, an upward jump by one notch from the position held last year. US, Germany and China secure the first three positions in the FDI Confidence Index.

India’s population of over a billion, demographic dividend, skilled manpower and high GDP growth are some of the known positives to attract foreign investment. It s, however, interesting that international confidence in India is high despite opaque government processes, rampant corruption and poor physical infrastructure. Investors perhaps draw confidence from the fact that it is the world’s largest democracy and the possibilities are immense. The positives about India perhaps outweigh the constraints associated with it.

While high FDI appears to be a global acknowledgement of India’s attractiveness and a welcome boost to the country’s brand image, there is another global ranking we may not feel proud about. it is the Global Hunger Index (GHI), presented by the International Food Policy Research Institute. The latest GHI (2016) ranks India at 97th place in a list of 118 countries. The index is based on a measure of malnutrition, under-nutrition among children and child mortality. Low ranking in the hunger index is a matter of concern.

Hopefully, high FDI inflow will eventually help raise the country’s ranking in the hunger index.

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ପ୍ରେମର ସ୍ବରୂପ କଥନ

         ପ୍ରେମକୁ ନଭାବ ସରଳ କଥା
         ଦେଇପାରେ ଖୁସି ଅଥବା ବଥା
ପ୍ରେମ ରାଇଜରେ          ଖସଡ଼ା ସଡକ
         ଚାଲି ନଜାଣିଲେ ହୋଇବ ଅଥା  ।1।

         ଆଗେ ଥିଲା ଆମ ଚଳଣି ଦେଶୀ
         ପ୍ରେମରୁ ବିବାହ ନଥିଲା ବେଶୀ
ତେଲ ଲୁଣ ଆଉ          ଗତାନୁଗତିକ
         ଲୋକାଚାରେ ଥିଲା ଜୀବନ ପେଷି ।2।

         ପ୍ରେମ ବିବାହ ବା ଯୋଗାଡ ହେଉ
         ହାତେ ରୋଜଗାର ଥାଉ ନଥାଉ
ବିବାହ ପରର     ନୂଆ କିଛି କାଳ         
         ଆସଇ ତୁହାଇ ପୀରତି ଢେଉ  ।3।

         ତାପରେ ପ୍ରେମର ବଦଳେ କାୟା
         ଗ୍ରାସ କରେ ଯେଣୁ ଜଗତ ମାୟା
କେତେବେଳେ ପଡେ       ପ୍ରେମର ମରୁଡି
         କେବେ ପୁଣି କିଏ ପ୍ରେମରେ ବାୟା ।4।

         ନରି ବାବୁ ଆମ ପଡିଶା ଘର
         ଭାରିଜା ବଚନ ବେଦରେ ଗାର
ଜୀବନ ତାଙ୍କର          ଲାଗେ ସୁଖମୟ
         ‘ବଶମ୍ବଦ ପ୍ରେମ’ ନାମଟି ତାର ।5।

         ଆଉ ଜଣେ ହେଲେ ବଳିଆ ବୀର
         କଥାରେ କଥାରେ ମାରନ୍ତି ତୀର
ଘରଣୀବି ନୁହେଁ          ଛାଡିବା ପରାଣୀ
         ଗାଳି ଗୁଲଜର ଛୁଟଇ ସୁର  ।6।

         ଶୁଖିନି ତଥାପି ପୀରତି ଧାର
         ବଡ ଝଗଡାଟେ ହୋଇଲେ ପାର
ଦୁଇ ଗୁଣ ପ୍ରେମ          ଆବୋରେ ଦୁହିଁଙ୍କୁ
         ‘ବଣୁଆ ପ୍ରେମ’ ଏ ନାମ ଅପାର  ।7।

         ଆଉ ଦୁହିଁଙ୍କର ନିଆରା ରୀତି
         ଏକୁଟିଆ ବେଳେ ବଡ ପୀରତି
ଆଉ କିଏ ଥିଲେ         ଖୁମୁଟା ଖୁମୁଟି
         ଅଭିଯୋଗ ପୁଣି ଗୁମାନ ଗୀତି  ।8।

         କୁନି କୁନି ରାଗ ଛୋଟିଆ ରୁଷା
         ଖୁସିରେ ଶୁଣାନ୍ତି ସାଇ ପଡିଶା
‘ବିରାଡ଼ିଆ ପ୍ରେମ’               ନାମରେ ନାମିତ
         ବଡ ସୁଖକର ଏହାର ନିଶା  ।9।

         ସବୁରି ଉପରେ ଗୋଟିଏ କଥା
         ସୋସାଲ ମିଡ଼ିଆ ନବୀନ ପ୍ରଥା
ଗାଇବାକୁ ହେବ        ମେଡିଆ ବୁକୁରେ
         ଅଥଳ ପ୍ରେମର ଗଭୀର ଗାଥା ।10।

         ଅସଲ ଜୀବନେ ପ୍ରେମର ଗାଡି
         ହରାଇବ ଗତି ନଯିବ ମାଡି
ମିଠା ମିଠା କଥା         ହସ ହସ ଫୋଟୋ
         ମେଡିଆରେ ଯଦି ନଦେବ ବାଢି ।11।

 
 
 
 

Happiness

There is no hard-coded path to happiness. Yet one thing that is most likely to bring happiness to anyone, whether wealthy, poor or powerful, is a sense of fulfilment. Just be yourself – you will be happy.

Are we happy as a nation? The answer should be positive considering that we have the oldest and richest history of philosophic exploration of ‘happiness’. After all, this is the land where Buddha had received his enlightenment and had discovered the eightfold path to overcome the miseries of human life! Further, we have perhaps the largest contingent of Gurus today, who are guiding hundreds of thousands to be happy. Yet India’s ranking in the formal World Happiness Report of the current year is a depressing 122 in a list of 155 countries. All our SAARC neighbours stand ahead of us except the war ravaged Afghanistan. Countries such as Nigeria, Somalia and Vietnam are happier countries than India. We have scored higher over the likes of Sudan, Yemen and Ghana.

When an international ranking is adverse, it is an easy defence to doubt the methodology and definitions underlying the ranking. In the instant case, one would tend to say, ‘well, does anybody really understand what happiness is? Is there an agreed definition of happiness? And how can one measure or compare the levels of happiness of different countries to construct a ranking?’ These questions are valid as long as we do not consider some practical aspects of being happy.

I remember a poem by John Hay taught to us in school – ‘The Enchanted Shirt’. The beautiful story told in the poem goes as follows:

Once a king felt that he was sick. The court physician was called in to diagnose the problem. As he could not find any sign of physical sickness in the king, he was sent to the gallows. More doctors were sent for, but no one could discover the king’s ailment. They were all beheaded as punishment. Finally there came a doctor, who declared that the king was indeed sick. The king was very pleased with the doctor and rewarded him well. However, the doctor handed over a strange prescription – ‘the king will be well, if he sleeps one night in the shirt of a Happy Man’. Spies were sent out in search of a happy man, but they failed to find one. Everyone living in the kingdom had some reason or the other not to feel happy. At last, the spies spotted a beggar, who was demonstrably happy, but he had no shirt to wear. The unsuccessful search for a happy man’s shirt made the king realize the sad state of affairs in the kingdom; he was ‘ashamed of his useless life, and his maladies hatched in gloom’.

Happiness is a state of mind – how else was the beggar happier than the wealthy! I don’t think the message on happiness embedded in the poem had then penetrated the mind of a young school boy. As I think about it today, I feel happiness cannot entirely be a state of mind – perhaps the ‘state of mind’ part of happiness is a necessary but not sufficient condition to be happy. A hungry and deprived person can seldom be happy. If I see a beggar jumping in happiness, I would first check if he is inebriated! Happiness should not be confused with temporary spurts of euphoria stimulated by specific incidents; it is more enduring and worthwhile.

Think about a child. The basic condition to see him happy is to ensure that he is not hungry. The other conditions that follow are that he is healthy, receives adequate attention from others around him, has a sense of safety, and has some interesting engagement. The child’s happiness depends on all these factors (by no means it is an exhaustive list) though the degree of influence exerted by each factor may vary. As the child grows into adulthood, the sources of happiness continue to be the same in essence; only the narrative around each essential factor changes. These factors take the form of healthy life expectancy, workplace happiness, extent of social support, trust and freedom in life, to name a few. All these factors may not be measurable cardinally, but an ordinal measurement should be possible.

Talking about happiness in day-to-day life, no two individuals derive the same level of happiness even under similar circumstances. Every individual has his own unique way of interpreting the known sources of happiness. In any case, happiness at workplace is a big contributor to a person’s overall happiness as he spends a lot of time on a given day at his workplace. Everyone may not have the same capacity to absorb the depressing effects of dealing with a rude and yelling boss at office the whole day and yet bear a smile in the evening at a family get-together. The reverse spill over is equally responsible when your spirits are down at the workplace due to a bad conjugal life. Managing the spillovers is sometimes a difficult balancing act. Further, an employee needs recognition, independence, self-esteem, fair competition and a host of other factors to feel happy. Even if you are working for a company well ranked in the ‘great place to work’ survey, you cannot be sure of individual happiness at your workplace.

No one can have a life free of worries. A happy person is one who knows that he has friends and relatives to support him in any kind of trouble. Mutual trust and support are foundations for happiness. At the same time, there are people who derive happiness by helping others. These people act as catalysts in enhancing overall happiness in the society. Many people try to seek happiness through prayers – they look for a divine source to seek support from. A profound faith in the Almighty reduces worries and enhances happiness. Indeed, any means to reduce your worries should be a welcome step.

A colleague of mine, who considers himself as nothing less than a God-man often says, ‘worries in life take your happiness to ransom, but it is easy to blow them away. What you need is to learn to blow the worries away.’ He then gives the example of his Guru and professes that the followers of his Guru are blessed to know the only path to happiness in this modern world. In the process, he appears to be soliciting membership for his organisation and inevitably assumes to himself a sense of divine respectability. He perhaps feels happy while doing so. But we know how upset he was when he lost a simple promotion opportunity. There are many who pretend happiness – perhaps they are the unhappiest in the world!

There is no hard-coded path to happiness. Yet one thing that is most likely to bring happiness to anyone, whether wealthy, poor or powerful, is a sense of fulfilment.

First and foremost, one must be able to discover one’s own likes and dislikes, strengths and deficiencies. Once this realistic assessment gets printed in the mind, one’s goals shape up with clarity. A sense of fulfilment comes when one achieves those goals by pursuing ways that conform to one’s own convictions. The goals may be just day-to-day tasks or bigger lifetime goals. As long as you have the freedom to be yourself and not artificially live other people’s contrary expectations, you are close to lead a life of fulfilment. It does not matter whether you achieve every goal as long as you have not lost the freedom to be yourself. You compete with none for happiness.

A classmate of mine studied Sanskrit literature in the university merely because his father forced him to do so. He is a professor of repute today, but I know, his real interest was Mathematics when he was in school. Is he happy now? Could his happiness be greater if he had become a professor of Mathematics instead of Sanskrit? Many of us get into professional lives where our personal values do not necessarily converge with that of our employer. When your friend is able to make a killing in a rising stock market, you perhaps lament your inability to match him. But why this unfair comparison if your goal never comprised short-term investments in stocks? Sometimes you start following a Guru because others are seen doing it. Happiness remains elusive.

Henry David Thoreau, the American philosopher of the 19th century says, “Happiness is like a butterfly; the more you chase it, the more it will elude you, but if you turn your attention to other things, it will come and sit softly on your shoulder.”

In my view, ‘just be yourself – you will be happy’.

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Life of Dignity – The Stray Dog Connection

I was in my hometown on a short vacation. It was time to catch up with friends and relatives.

One Sunday afternoon I was heading to meet a friend living in the heart of the town but in a narrow by-lane. I was walking my way as I entered the by-lane; my friend’s house barely three hundred meters away. It was unusual calm there compared to the hustle and bustle of the lane. As I moved towards his house, I found two stray dogs following me. Slowly more strays joined them emerging out from behind parked two-wheelers and boundary walls. Within minutes, there were about a dozen stray dogs walking around me as they were trying to evaluate my presence in their turf. I began to feel claustrophobic while a few unusual moves by a large dog enhanced my perception of threat. I started walking faster and unwittingly triggered their aggression. I was almost in front of the large gate leading to my friend’s house, when a dog came charging towards me from inside. Soon the other dogs started barking terrorizing me to the core. Luckily, my friend came out just in the nick of time on hearing the commotion and made the dogs retreat just by waving his hands with authority. The dogs were quiet like obedient pets and started to retreat although there were few who still kept their gaze on me.

My friend comforted me patronizingly insisting that those dogs were harmless. He seemed to have given a name to each dog and knew each one’s unique attitude and preferences, as he was trying to sort of introduce me to them. Apparently, the by-lane was free from theft and burglary due to these strays, as no stranger could enter the place unnoticed. I was amazed to discover the ardent animal lover in my friend. But the sheer number of stray dogs and the aggression in them left me wonder if the problem was getting out of hands. Never before did I feel the presence of street dogs to be so intimidating!

Dog bites are indeed common in India. Children in slums routinely get bitten by stray dogs and take it as a part of their day-to-day life. I doubt if their parents even notice these dog bites, leave alone seeking medical treatment. No wonder, India accounts for 18,000 to 20,000 cases of rabies a year and about 36% of the world’s deaths from the disease (Bulletin of World Health Organization – Vol 92: April 2014). What is significant, however, is the increasing incidence of fatal attacks by packs of dogs, threatening human life. With the rise in the population of dogs on the streets, parents can no more afford their children to walk unescorted while the old and the sick can no more venture out. People are afraid to move freely in their own locality. The threat perception is far higher than a simple occasional dog bite; it may be a fierce attack by a pack of dogs! Can anybody imagine we have lost our freedom to stray dogs in this modern world!!

Let not anyone dismiss this as an exaggerated narrative by an animal-hater! We must realize that the stray dogs and human beings are encroaching upon each other’s lives and resources and the conflict is inevitably getting nastier by the day. The brutal killing of stray dogs in certain parts of Kerala (and elsewhere) is simply a reflection of angry reaction of victims, who are frustrated at the lack of tangible solutions to the menace. I am not justifying killing of dogs by the mob, but before showing the law book to these men and branding them as criminals, we must address the underlying provocation that may have driven them.

It is perhaps impractical to think that stray dogs would ever get completely eliminated from the streets. But is there no method by which we can bring down their number? I know indiscriminate mass killing of stray dogs is not only illegal but also gross cruelty. The best solution is perhaps mass sterilization of stray dogs – Ovario-hysterectomy performed on females and castration on the males. The sterilized dogs are non-breeding and supposed to be less aggressive.

But this solution (mass sterilization) is not seen to be working. The Canadian Medical Association Journal (Feb 26, 2008) says, ‘The success of this program (animal birth control) hinges on the sterilization of 70% of the strays in a given geographic area within 6 months, before the next reproductive cycle begins, otherwise the entire effort is negated.’ The pace of stray dog sterilization is dismally low in the country (just 31,341 sterilizations in 2014-15 as reported by the central government to the Parliament) and is not considered reliable enough. The number of dogs is far too many (1.71 crore as per the only all-India stray dog census carried out in 2012) and resources hardly match the requirement. An effective solution through sterilization of stray dogs is an impractical, rather impossible idea at this stage.

Instead of recognizing the urgent need to seek a tangible solution to the stray dog menace, we find that the civic society is divided on the following issue: should we protect animal rights to the extent that we put human life / freedom to risk?

‘Compassion should be shown towards stray dogs but in the meantime, these animals cannot be allowed to become a menace to the society. A balance needs to be created for dealing with such situation.’ This is what the Supreme Court sated in September 2015 while dealing with a petition on the problem of stray dogs. In another order the Supreme Court has further stated, ‘There can be no trace of doubt that there has to be compassion for dogs and they should not be killed in an indiscriminate manner, but indubitably the lives of the human beings are to be saved and one should not suffer due to dog bite because of administrative lapse.’ The Court is still hearing the petitions.

The only effective solution at this stage is to ‘put to rest’ the lives of the unwanted, surplus dogs. I am referring to euthanasia – mercy killing. Usually, euthanasia is applied when a stray dog is suffering untold pain from an irretrievable disease. Suggesting euthanasia for the so called surplus dogs may seem to be cruel to the dogs. The counter argument could also be that the dogs have a right to live. These arguments are valid – but in normal times. We are dealing with an abnormal situation of overwhelming stray dog population. The civic authorities are unable to cope with the situation through the animal birth control (ABC) programme and we need to strike a balance as the Supreme Court’s comment above suggests.

I am afraid, the animal rights activists would be up in arms to hear this suggestion. I would like to draw their attention to what the PETA (People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals) says – ‘Until dog and cat overpopulation is brought under control through spaying and neutering, we must prevent the suffering of unwanted animals in the most responsible and humane way possible. Euthanasia, performed properly, is often the most compassionate option’ (refer PETA website).

A prominent animal rights activist has argued in a column (Firstpost: February 28, 2017) as follows: ‘The dog is nature’s city scavenger and predator. If you remove it, apart from the piling up of huge quantities of garbage, the cat and rat population will get out of hand, and from that, the natural bird population will die out.’ The perverse argument amuses me as the columnist believes that a) stray dogs help clear a city’s garbage, and b) the most effective method to control the population of cats and rats in a city is to depend upon the predatory stray dogs. Laughable indeed!

The menace of stray dogs must be taken seriously with all its dimensions. The Government must carry out effective sterilization and vaccination of dogs on a mission mode, with adequate budgetary resources. However, in the meantime there should be no hesitation to euthanize surplus dogs by engaging veterinarians and trained professionals and by adopting the most compassionate methods of euthanasia. Contrary to what animal rights activists may routinely like to believe, a well administered, calibrated euthanasia of the kind discussed above would provide a life of dignity to the stray dogs.

 

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Ceteris Paribus

We keep making ceteris paribus assumptions in our day-to-day life without actually realizing it. In fact, we assume the world around us to behave in a certain way. Things do change over time, but not in a perceptible manner in the short-run. And that corroborates our implicit reliance on ceteris paribus.

I was in school that time. My father once gave me a hand-written card on the occasion of my birthday. The card contained a quote from the famous American poet, Henry Wadsworth Longfellow:

“The heights by great men reached and kept

Were not attained by sudden flight, but they,

While their companions slept, were toiling

Upward in the night.”

Today we have the social media, which generously circulates inspirational quotes every hour for every occasion, perhaps to the point of a receiver’s irritation. However, in my childhood a Longfellow quote was indeed rare to come by and hence I must have treasured it as a piece of wisdom.

The wisdom in the quote suggests that success is achieved by those who do an extra bit of effort when their ‘companions are sleeping’ or when others are not doing enough! What is striking is the assumption that ‘others are not doing enough’ in the above wisdom. Will there ever be a situation like that? Can I know when exactly others are sleeping so that I would wake up and put in some additional efforts to succeed? Well, let me not search its literal meaning and miss the essence of the quote. I cannot, however, avoid seeing an element of ceteris paribus in it!!

Ceteris Paribus is a Latin Phrase meaning ‘other things being equal’. Economists love the phrase. No theory in Economics can stand without ceteris paribus. This all-pervasive assumption in Economics is quite intriguing. It helps economists explain causality by isolating an independent variable from innumerable other variables that influence a dependent variable. For instance, an economist would say in a matter-of-fact style that higher demand for a commodity would push its price up. However, this hypothesis is based on the underlying assumption that all other factors that may influence the price (say, supply position, price of other similar commodities, level of income, etc.) are believed to remain unchanged. We may find the assumption unrealistic, but it helps us simplify matters to understand causality.

We keep making ceteris paribus assumptions in our day-to-day life without actually realizing it. In fact, we assume the world around us to behave in a certain way. Things do change over time, but not in a perceptible manner in the short-run. And that corroborates our implicit reliance on ceteris paribus.

A teacher expects a certain kind of discipline in the classroom; the driver on the road assumes how the traffic would generally behave, and the police have their own idea of crowd behaviour in a city. All of them try to view their environment with a reasonable degree of certainty based on previously experienced patterns. But they seldom realize that the element of ceteris paribus is working behind all this; it is nothing but the assumption, ‘other things being equal’. They do not anticipate dramatic deviations from what is considered ‘usual’.

Our day-to-day implicit reliance on ceteris paribus is, however, different from that of an economist. It is less pure and is capable of accommodating a layer of small deviations within itself. Thus the Longfellow quote seeking to highlight the key to success is not just a poetic inspiration; it is a realistic guide to success based on ceteris paribus of the day-to-day kind.

What happens when your teenage daughter refuses to abide by the code of conduct you set out for her? What happens when the subordinate suspects the rationale of an order and refuses to execute it against his own conviction? What if your friend does not show up this time defying his usual character of being a friend in need? This disturbs us because the behaviour does not conform to our implicit ceteris paribus assumption. ‘Other things’ do not always remain equal and the pace of change may, at times, be greater than what the tiny layer of accommodation our day-to-day ceteris paribus can sustain.

As a student of Economics I was never impressed with the ceteris paribus assumption. However, it increasingly appears that the balance in our life hinges on the innumerable ceteris paribus assumptions that we involuntarily make. Economists may term it as ‘model risk’ each time an assumption goes wrong. In our day-to-day life, we may call it ‘expectations risk’! We could perhaps jargonize and call it a ‘ceteris paribus’ risk.

 

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Lies

There are small lies and big lies in our conversations, some are meant to deceive while some are innocuous. Some element of lies gets unnoticed, as it does not materially influence the topic of a discussion. Perhaps little lies in conversations spice up the discussions.

This is startling indeed! Sixty percent people lie at least once during a ten-minute conversation and tell an average of two to three lies. This observation is based on the result of a research study published in 2009 by Robert S. Feldman, a professor of psychology in USA.

So, don’t get upset if your close friend lied to you last evening for no apparent reason and you discovered it later somehow. Your friend conforms to the generally expected behavioral pattern in our society. We live in a world full of lies.

We are taught from childhood that lying is a sin; the virtuous is always truthful. Yet the atmosphere is filled with lies all around.

Why do people lie? In what way does that help them? Can the society sustain itself when lies routinely contaminate the truth in our day-to-day conversations? Are we living in a make-believe world because what is told to us by others could potentially be lies?

Some people believe that there are ‘good’ lies and they tend to attach no element of sin with those. For example, a doctor may lie to the patient when he says, ‘you have a minor problem; we will deal with it… you should be fine soon’. The patient cheers up with these encouraging words and smiles with hope. However, a minute later, the same doctor may confidentially turn to the patient’s attendant and disclose the truth, ‘the condition of the patient is indeed critical and there is very little doctors can do to save him at this stage. Keep your trust in God.’

There are also ‘good’ lies that prevent a crime or save a life. Not only at the individual level, lies are often carefully dispensed out at the level of the government on the grounds of public order, national security, etc. There is half-truth or suppression of truth in some form or the other. The Home Minister often declares normalcy after a communal tension although the situation on the ground may not have improved much. His words calm tensions in other parts of the country and serve a larger good. Similarly volatility in the forex and stock markets respond to the soothing words of assurance coming from the regulators. These words are carefully crafted, which are not lies, but are not the whole truth either.

Our perception and attitude get greatly influenced by what we are made to believe through media campaigns and through our textbooks. History is a narrative presented to us about our past enemies and friends, about our achievements and follies – all propagating certain points of view. The element of truth in such narratives is often blurred as the story is passed on from one generation to another. We tend to accept cardinal truths passed on to us from our forefathers without realizing that some of them may just be based on years of unquestioned falsehood.

Let me not step into the big canvas of lies influencing the society at large and just confine myself to the lies in our day-to-day conversations. There are small lies and big lies in our conversations, some are meant to deceive while some are innocuous. Some element of lies gets unnoticed, as it does not materially influence the topic of a discussion. Perhaps little lies in conversations spice up the discussions. Little exaggeration attracts and retains others’ interest while one narrates, say, an incident in a party. Does it mean that a layer of lies is acceptable in our general conversations as long as it is not stretched too far and remains non-malicious?

People have various provocations to lie. At an instinctive level lying may be a defence against an odd. A person may lie to escape an embarrassment, avoid a punishment or simply to make a personal gain. But habitual liars constitute a different breed – they lie in all conversations. Often they misrepresent facts in a manner suitable to the situation. One of the seemingly universal provocations behind habitual lying is to project oneself in better light. These people simply twist facts to make coherent stories about themselves. For instance, my friend told me about the great experience he gathered during the last Mumbai Marathon, giving me an impression that he ran the 22 kms beautiful track from Bandra to the Nariman Point. In reality he actually stood for sometime on the roadside to cheer the participants while they were running. Similarly, my boss in office has successfully given an impression to everybody that he has graduated from the famous Stanford University; the truth is that he visited the university only for three months on an executive development programme sponsored by his previous employer. Some people try to create an aura around themselves by resorting to small to big lies. Interestingly, the stories are believed and propagated with layers of additional lies till the time the person making the story himself starts believing in his own lies!

It may not be easy to sustain specific lies told in long conversations – the liar needs to be consistent in what he falsely represents.

Another research in recent times deals with lies in on-line conversations. The research article is going to be published in the November 2016 issue of the journal, Computers in Human Behavior. The world of Internet (i.e., social media, online dating, anonymous chat rooms, and sexual websites) is fraught with greater density of lies as revealed through this research. As less as 16 to 32% of the people (in the sample) were believed to be honest across the sites. Further, 55% to 90% believed that others were also lying in these sites. Such is the extent of deception in the on-line conversations; it far exceeds the lies told in face-to-face conversations.

It is not known whether these lies can be categorised as ‘good’ and non-malicious and whether they fall in that acceptable layer of lies that just spice up on-line interactions.

In all probability, the layers of lies in our day-to-day conversations are fragile and can threaten relationships. A sustainable relationship thrives on truthfulness. Honesty continues to be the best policy – perhaps little lies would spice it up. Hope some professional research would throw up tangible results in this area as well.

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